| Play | Prop | Game | First pitch | Odds | Stake | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shane Baz | Over 16.5 outs | CLE@BAL | 6:35 ET | -133 | 1u |
| 2 |  Jake Bennett | Over 16.5 outs | LAA@BOS | 6:45 ET | -108 | 1u |
| 3 |  Ozzie Albies | Over 0.5 hits | TB@ATL | 7:15 ET | -165 | 0.75u |
| 4 |  Bryce Eldridge | Over 0.5 hits | STL@SF | 3:45 ET | -175 | 0.75u |
Parlay of the Day: Baz, Bennett and Albies together, about +442.
Four today.
Shane Baz has gone past sixteen and a half outs in 20 of his 28 starts and six of his last eight, and tonight he gets Cleveland, one of the quietest lineups in the sport. That matters more than people give it credit for on a play like this. It is not really about how good the arm is, it is about whether he is still out there in the sixth, and a lineup that does not put runners on is a lineup that does not run his pitch count up.
Jake Bennett is the same idea from the other direction. The Angels strike out more than a quarter of the time, more than anybody else playing today, and a strikeout is the cheapest out there is. Three pitches and he walks off the mound. Six of his last eight starts cleared this number.
Ozzie Albies has a hit in 97 of his 145 games and 11 of his last 15. The part I like is that he almost never strikes out against right handers, so he is putting the ball in play basically every trip. Bryce Eldridge has a hit in 13 of his last 15, hitting third against a starter with six career starts to his name.
The one I left alone: Andre Pallante had the biggest number on my whole screen this morning and I passed. He came off the injured list five days ago with an elbow problem and they pulled him after five innings in his first game back. Every good number he has is from before he got hurt, which makes it a number about a different pitcher.
Albies and Eldridge are on expected lineups, not confirmed ones. Check they are in.
